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By Howard Levitan, on November 20th, 2008
The most recent news from the Hospitality Industry is not good for Innkeepers. Hotel REIT giant, LaSalle Properties announced it was cutting 20% from its hotel staffing (mostly run by large hotel management companies) and has rescinded its 2008 guidance to the stock market. LaSalle reported that its Revpar (revenue per available room) decreased by 11.4 % in October; a huge drop! While the Innkeeping Business does not use Revpar as a measurement, it is fundamentally the same as saying that average daily rate and occupancy combined dropped by that amount. LaSalle is an important bell- weather for Inns because it is comprised of mostly luxury and higher-priced hotel properties. For the full story, please see: LaSalle Orders 20% Cut in Hotel Staffing – WSJ.com.
We hear anecdotally that many Inns and Bed and Breakfasts across the Country have had good years in 2008, at least until the end of October. Now is not the time for Innkeepers to rest on their laurels. A sea change is coming, in the form of a recession, the likes of which we have not seen in our lifetimes. This is also not the time to just burrow in fear of what is to come. As we have said many times before, when there is a downturn, those Inns at the top of their game can improve market share as against the competition. A bigger piece of a smaller pie may save the day after all.
So this is the time to be countercyclical and increase your spending on marketing, especially electronic marketing through your website, blog, and by email. Create attractive packages rather than discount, and spend all of that extra time you have due to declining occupancies to come up with creative and imaginative ways to get your repeat and referral guests to the Inn. Most of all, just lowering the price will not work, and may make things worse in the long run (see previous article on Discounting).
Most of all, have heart. The biggest reason that they come back to the Inn is because your have created a refuge and a respite from all of the problems the guests face at home and in the real world. Remember that this is exactly what the guests need in these troubled times, and they will pay you for this experience.
By Rebecca Levitan, on January 28th, 2008
Arden Dale writes in a compelling article published in the Wall Street Journal on January 8, 2008 that “Want to Sell a Business? You May Not Be Ready.” Ms. Dale goes on to state quite cogently that many small business owners are relying on the ultimate sale of their business for their own personal retirement funds. The author’s thesis is that many small business owners do not have proper financial records, detailed operational documentation, and may not have a very realistic idea about the price for their businesses. She goes on to point out that buyers are much more sophisticated than in the past and are insisting on receiving extensive due diligence materials before agreeing to any purchase. The author’s solution is to start getting the business ready to sell several years in advance, to keep proper books and records, and to improve the operating profitability as much as possible.
Sound familiar? This is what we have been talking about this for years now with our program to Achieve Maximum Profitability at your Inn well before it goes to the market. Looking at the financial condition of an Inn as compared to Inns across the Country is achieved by looking at results compared to other similar Inns. In this regard, one source of information for the smaller Inns would be the PAII Industry Study (2007-2008 utilizing 2006 financial results is the most recent version). Other sources includes our own Quantum Hospitality/Oates & Bredfeldt, LLC Standard Cost Analysis Study. In either case, the concept is to conform your own Inn’s financial performance to the Chart of Accounts set forth in the appropriate study, and to determine on an account-by-account basis whether or not your income and expenses are in line with the average Inns in each such study. I can state, without any doubt, that each time we do such analysis for an Inn, we are able to come up with potential cost savings well in excess of our charges for doing this work. We do in depth reviews of the operations of 30-50 Inns across the Country each year, and there are very few that stand up to this type of rigorous, detailed study. The result is that we are then in a position to suggest operational and expense cost savings which will improve the financial results prior to selling the Inn, irrespective of the process used to market the Inn. This is especially true about the “personal” costs and expenses that seem to always be present in the Profit and Loss Statement of the Inn. A good couple of years before any contemplated sale is a really good time to eliminate these additional costs and show some real profitability and net cash flow in the Inn.
Dale’s point about researching the price for the Inn is also well taken. Most Innkeepers look at what they think another Inn has sold for without first hand knowledge of the financial condition of that Inn. They think that if that Inn down the street sold for $X then their Inn has got to be worth more since it is “better” or “more popular,” etc. Another practice is simply to utilize the various rules of thumb like Gross Revenue Multiplier (see previous Article dated May 17, 2007 called “Best Methods for Finding the Ideal Inn”). Often Innkeepers are told to price their Bed and Breakfast Inns at 5-6 times gross sales, even though the business results do not justify such lofty pricing. The solution is to obtain professional advice as to what your Inn Business is really worth compared to other similar Inns before going to the market.
The point about written operational policies and procedures is another really important one. Two or three weeks training from the prior keepers of the Inn can not teach new Innkeepers what they really need to know in order to maintain the value of their new Inn Business in the first year. Those Inns which have written checklists and policies, training manuals, job descriptions, recipes, and stated practices for all of their operational tasks are simply worth more than Inns that do not have this documentation. Buyers will quickly figure this out in the due diligence process, and may walk or run away from a poorly managed Inn notwithstanding the price.
Finally, a word about where we seem to be on the National economic front, as it may impact the ability of Innkeepers to achieve their goals of selling the Inn. Some commentators have downplayed the impact of the Sub-Prime Mortgage Crisis on business. This, of course, is pure foolishness, and a disservice to those whose dreams can be destroyed by buying Inns at the wrong time or at the wrong price. It is now clear from the daily economic news, the plummeting real estate markets, and the rapidly falling stock market that the Country is at grave risk of a real recession, if we are not already there. This will clearly be felt in the tourism market, and all forms of accommodations across the Nation will be feeling this pinch. The Inn business survived the fall off after 911 by not falling prey to the discounting that the hotel business jumped on. We hope that the greater hospitality business has learned its lesson, but for Innkeepers, this year will clearly be a real challenge.
For Sellers, this is not good news. It will clearly have an impact on the prices that will be achievable for their Inns, especially if results take a down turn for them. It already has impacted time on the market for Inns, especially full service Inns with restaurants. Most Inns are staying on the market for 1-2 years before they are sold, even if they are at the right price. For buyers, this does created somewhat of an opportunity, with the Federal Reserve pushing interest rates back to the really low levels of the past several years, however the real key is to make certain that there is sufficient cushion in the net cash flow of the Inn to weather the likely fall off in the hospitality business caused by an economic recession. So buyers need to be very careful that they look at the reality of the financial performance of an Inn opportunity, that they make absolutely certain that there is sufficient cash flow to get by if things go bad, and that they have good working capital at the outset. Making an emotional “lifestyle” decision is not a very good idea in the immediate future (or perhaps ever!). The best performing and operating Inns will likely still be very attractive at the right price with such low interest rates, but marginal operations simply will not sell at any price. In any event, we will be there to offer help when and where needed.
By Rebecca Levitan, on January 23rd, 2008
I think that everyone is aware of what is happening in the mortgage industry. The reporters are delivering the news everyday of how home sales are falling and that lenders are tightening their belts on providing loans. Interest rates are falling and their looms the possibility of a recession. What should we do with this news and what is next?
We take this news and it gets everyone a little nervous. However, this is still the time for Innkeepers which are running a good, clean business to step up to the plate and take advantage of interest rates. Let me give you an example. We are in the process of assisting a buyer purchase a property in Maine. When we started this process back in November, we were hoping that we could find an interest rate around 7 ½%. So, we developed the business plan and in December we submitted it to four banks, two being national lenders. The results were interesting. The two national banks didn’t want to get involved, even though there was about 1.5 debt ratio. However, the two local banks reacted very differently. They are competing strongly against each other for the opportunity to finance this purchase. We now have an offer for a loan for twenty-five years, fixed for five years, at 3.28% above the treasury rate. As of January 22nd, this will provide us with a rate of 5.82%! This is astonishing!
So, if you have your financial house in order, it may be time to shop for a new interest rate. If you don’t have your finances in good shape, take steps to get them in line and use this time of interest rates being lowered to the best of your advantage!
By Rebecca Levitan, on February 12th, 2007
It always amazes me when dealing with people looking to purchase an inn. The other day I received an e-mail inquiring on a property valued at $1.8M. The e-mail was simple. It said “This is the type of inn we are interested in. So, if you can pass on to me 3-5 years of financials, I can look them over”. So here is the dilemma. I don’t know who this person is. We have only communicated for a brief time via e-mails and I don’t even know his last name. In addition, I can’t contact him via telephone because he hasn’t shared it with me. I’m not sure of his family status and if he has children, there isn’t room within the current owner’s quarters. I’m not sure if he wants to be in a city, country, or mountains. Most importantly, I don’t have a clue as to his finances! Yet, he totally expects me to quickly disclose very personal information when I know nothing about him.
So here is the real question…If you owned an inn worth $1.8M would you want me to send your financial overview to everyone that inquires? The answer should be no!! When you are at the point of being a “serious buyer”, you should act accordingly. My motto is simple: “Show me yours, and I’ll show you mine!” A buyer that is serious should be ready to share their financial overview. If a buyer isn’t capable of doing this, they are not serious. So my message to all of the future buyers is to prepare a financial statement and be ready to share it on any inn in which you are seeking their financial data. You will now be treated as a serious buyer!
By Rebecca Levitan, on December 6th, 2006
I was looking at the December edition of PAII’s Innkeeping this morning, and had a thought that I wanted to pass on. Clearly this falls in the range of “for what it is worth.”
I have heard Bill Carroll talk several times on Yield Management, including at last year’s PAII Conference. He is clearly a bright and thoughtful professor. However, this discussion turns me off every time I hear it. It seems to be all about the money and not about the guest. It seems to be the antithesis of the kind of hospitality that we strive for as Innkeepers. Even mentioning the possibility of overbooking rooms and having different rates for the same type of rooms on the same days, makes me cringe. Working hard to have a strong Inn business is something we have taught for many years, but the means of achieving this goal also matters. I think, bottom line, that Yield Management is perhaps the opposite of what we should be teaching Innkeepers or Aspiring Innkeepers. Our segment of the Hospitality Industry has always, always differentiated ourselves based on the high level of individual hospitality we provide to the guests. This has helped us considerably in the tough times following 9/11 when the larger hotel industry was killing itself with discounting and hotels.com type distribution channels. In my opinion, the future of our way of Innkeeping seems to depend upon increasing the level of hospitality to the guests, not becoming more institutionalized and impersonal. We need to continue to think about what is the next amenity that we can provide to the guests, not how much money we can get.
Now, Bill Carroll is writing about Demand Management. Once I got past the Yield Management stuff in the article, however, I actually thought that some of it made some sense to me. Analyzing marketing expenses, sources of contacts, and tracking web results (i.e. spending time trying to figure out who the guest is, and why and how he finds the Inn) is all something that most good Innkeepers have been doing for years. Asking the question “How did you hear about us?” is such a standard question that every Innkeeper must ask a prospective guest. Treating “loyal guests” (i.e. repeat guests) as special is one of the essentials of good Innkeeping. I recall an article in Innkeeping many years ago by Maureen McGee from Rabbit Hill Inn in Vermont, on how to answer telephone calls for reservations. This was done before anyone ever heard about the Internet. Some of this article is clearly still relevant. Asking about why the guest was coming and how they heard about the Inn were such basics even at that pre-web time. Tracking sources of contacts has been present from the earliest days of bed and breakfast reservation software.
In sum, let’s get back to basics. If we treat all the guests as very special, they may want to come back. If we treat repeat guests even better, they might clearly refer more business to us. No matter how much the Internet and computers become a part of our lives as Innkeepers, the best, least expensive, and most lasting form of marketing, is and always will be treating the guests to superb hospitality. Modern electronic marketing has become very important, and will succeed if we remember that is all about serving the guest and their needs. If Yield Management is the way of the future, then I have sincere doubts about how we can continue to differentiate ourselves from every chain hotel off the highway.
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